dracU's Betting Advice - FREE $$$

(15\15) IEM Katowice DAY 1

Hello guys. Sorry coz after the mlg qualifer day 1 i just dindt felt ready to give you accurate advice and i been very busy as well.
But we are here again and i will try to share with you my bets and wy i will do that way:

First i will try to make a ranking of how i see the teams participating in the Katowice based on: Individual skill, teamplay, map pool, recent performance and hours played recently:

RANKING:

100% Fnatic (225H average)
-------------------------------------------------- T0
95% LG (500H average)
94% EnVyus (330H average)
-------------------------------------------------- t1+
92% Astralis (300H average)
91% NaVi (500H average)
90% NiP (500H average)
89% VP (450H average)
-------------------------------------------------- t1
87% Faze (425H average)
86% Mouz (225H average)
-------------------------------------------------- t1-
75% Efrag (500H average)
74% TS (370H average)
-------------------------------------------------- t2
65% Mongolz (IDK)
-------------------------------------------------- t2-

I will use this numbers to make my bet trying to play the odds in this way :
Detecting the skewed odds based on my ranking and betting on them with 10% off odd margin.
Take into consideration that i will be doing this during the bo1 matches coz of the ramdomnes that loosing pistols + 1 or 2 crucial cutches could supouse.
THIS ODDS ONLY WORKS IN A BO1 FORMAT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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CSGL Odds: 76-24
My Odds: 59-41
My Bet: 1% of inventory Navi (20$) if naví less than 31%(the 10% margin)

Final bet : 20 NAVI
https://gyazo.com/d4ee07c0c99bc5d5ed88568ff32ecee4

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CSGL Odds: 32-68
My Odds: 46-54
My Bet: 1% of inventory mouz (20$) if mouz less than 36%(the 10% margin)

Final bet : 20 mouz
https://gyazo.com/c13eb8642370dae879dff90c781c87c9

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CSGL Odds: 48-52
My Odds: 54-46
My Bet: 1% of inventory LG(20$) for fun but this is a clear skip.

Final bet : 20 lg
https://gyazo.com/2124a961feec5a125f81e808489185ce

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CSGL Odds: 73-27
My Odds: 71-29
My Bet: 0.5% of inventory mongolz(10$) if mongolz less than 19% or 10% of inventor y on mouz(200$) if mouz less than 65%

Final bet : 10 mongolz
https://gyazo.com/c174b3b9cfeb505fd8980ba1a07de738

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CSGL Odds: 84-16
My Odds: 75-25
My Bet: 0.5% of inventory mongolz(10$) if mongolz less than 15% or 10% of inventor y on NiP(200$) if nip less than 70%

Final bet : SKIP

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CSGL Odds: 25-75
My Odds: 45-55
My Bet: 1% of inventory LG(20$)

Final bet : 20 LG
https://gyazo.com/9182f3ed6108fcbca6cdaae6ee97110e

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CSGL Odds: 40-60
My Odds: 45-55
My Bet: 1% of inventory Mouz(20$) under 35% or 2% of inventory on Navi(40$) under 50%

Final bet : SKIP

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CSGL Odds: 75-25
My Odds: 60-40
My Bet: 1% of inventory NiP(20$) under 30%

Final bet : 20 NIP

https://gyazo.com/e72a7ad3fc3cd6816a0ac3d829f6853e

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CSGL Odds: 39-61
My Odds: 49-51
My Bet: 1% of inventory NiP(20$) under 39%

Final bet : SKIP

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CSGL Odds: 95-5
My Odds: 75-25
My Bet: 0.5% of inventory Mongolz(10$) under 15% or SKIP

Final bet : SKIP

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CSGL Odds: 95-5
My Odds: 85-15
My Bet: 0.5% of inventory Mongolz(10$) under 10% or SKIP

Final bet : SKIP

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CSGL Odds: 27-73
My Odds: 41-59
My Bet: 1% of inventory Mouz(20$) under 31%

Final bet : 20 Mouz

https://gyazo.com/87e448a8899fecd275f23ae839ab6f79

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CSGL Odds: 9-91
My Odds: 20-80
My Bet: 0.5% of inventory mongolz(10$) under 10% or SKIP

Final bet : COMBO + KICK

https://gyazo.com/bf9b275448a29d023f60ed80ec1d3e99

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CSGL Odds: 82-18
My Odds: 64-36
My Bet: 1% of inventory mouz(20$) under 26%

Final bet : 20 Mouz

https://gyazo.com/5f9fbfae4f96c6c71fcf7025dbe446ce

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CSGL Odds: 33-66
My Odds: 45-55
My Bet: 1% of inventory NIP(20$) under 35%

Final bet : 30 NIP

https://gyazo.com/97243f66a2996b4bba660d0b50d8661a