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India



subject to the same uncertainties as predictions of the effects of an all-out attack, the
possibilities can be bounded. OTA examined
the impact of a small attack on economic targets (an attack on oil refineries limited to 10
missiles), and found that while economic recovery would be possible, the economic damage and social dislocation could be immense.
A review of calculations of the effects on civilian populations and economies of major counterforce attacks found that while the conse
quences might be endurable (since they would
be on a scale with wars and epidemics that nations have endured in the past), the number of
deaths might be as high as 20 million. Moreover, the uncertainties are such that no government could predict with any confidence what
the results of a Iimited attack or counterattack
would be even if there was no further escalation.